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Taylor Warns Against Premature Rate Hikes Amid Higher Energy Prices

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GBP
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Bank of England policymaker Alan Taylor emphasized that higher energy prices alone do not justify further rate hikes, warning that such moves would be premature without clearer signs of persistent inflation across the economy.

Taylor's comments came as he highlighted limited evidence of second-round inflation effects, moderate wage growth, and subdued food-price pressures. He noted that an increase in energy costs would require stronger evidence that inflation is spreading into other parts of the economy before supporting another rate increase.

According to Taylor, the recent rise in oil and gas prices could push Britain's headline inflation rate significantly higher over the winter, but he argued that this alone would not warrant tighter monetary policy. He pointed out that wage growth remains broadly consistent with the Bank of England's 2% inflation target.

Taylor was among the six MPC members who voted to keep the Bank Rate unchanged at 3.75%, while three members backed a 25-basis-point increase. His comments suggest that he currently requires a relatively high threshold of evidence before supporting another rate increase.

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