US Job Market Shows Signs of Strength in August, Rate Hike on Table
The US job market showed signs of strength in August, as nonfarm payrolls surged by 162,000 jobs after an upwardly revised rise of 21,000 in July. The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported this on Friday.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls would increase by 56,000 after a previously reported drop of 23,000 in July. However, the actual numbers were much higher than expected, pointing to a stable labor market and keeping an interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve this month on the table.
Short-term interest-rate futures now imply about a 59% chance of an increase in the US policy rate at the Fed's September 15-16 meeting, up from about 55% before the Bureau of Labor Statistics report. This suggests that the market is pricing in a higher likelihood of a rate hike.
Market participants are divided on the implications of the jobs report for monetary policy. Some analysts believe that the strong job growth and steady unemployment rate will give the Fed room to raise interest rates, while others argue that the Fed should wait until next month's inflation data is released before making any decisions.