USD/CAD Breakout Faces Key Test as Front-End Rates Take Over
The USD/CAD currency pair has broken out of its downtrend and is now testing a crucial level that will determine whether this breakout has legs.
According to recent data, the pair's sensitivity to US two-year yields has surged, with a correlation coefficient of +0.74 over the past five sessions, compared to +0.24 for longer-dated US yields.
This suggests that the front-end rate show is driving this move, particularly given the relatively strong relationship between fluctuations in USD/CAD and movements in US 2-year yields.