Washington Sounds Alarm Over Japan's Yen and Bond Market
The yen's recent decline has reached alarming levels in Tokyo, causing US officials to sound the alarm. Japan's 2-year government bond yield has climbed to a staggering 1.965%, its highest level in 31 years. This sharp rise is largely due to the Bank of Japan's decision to raise its policy rate by 25 basis points to 1.25% earlier this month, the highest level since 1995.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has publicly stated that he expects action from Tokyo and the Bank of Japan to support the falling yen. This is not the first time US officials have intervened in the yen's value; in July, reports suggest that the US and Japan jointly purchased yen to prop up its value, lifting it to a seven-month high.
The reasons for Washington's concern are fourfold: Japan's role as the largest foreign holder of US Treasuries, the risk of capital flowing back home, the impact on US borrowing costs, and the way Japan funds its currency interventions. If Japanese investors shift their focus towards domestic assets due to rising yields, it could lead to a decrease in demand for US Treasuries, causing upward pressure on US yields.