AAPL DCF Analysis: Intrinsic Value $177 vs Price $341
GuruFocus conducted a discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis for Apple Inc. (AAPL) to determine its intrinsic value in light of recent price performance.
The analysis indicates that AAPL is significantly overvalued, with an earnings-based intrinsic value of $177.31 and a current price of $341.07, resulting in a margin of safety of -92.4%.
The DCF model used a two-stage approach to estimate AAPL's intrinsic value, reflecting a high growth phase over the next ten years and a more stable terminal growth rate thereafter.
All three valuation models, DCF earnings, DCF FCF, and GF Value™, concur that AAPL is overvalued, with the consensus suggesting caution for potential investors.