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Alphabet's $18 Billion Bet on AI Could Make or Break Its Future

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Alphabet's recent second-quarter results have set off a chain reaction of spending on AI and cloud infrastructure, prompting a significant increase in capital expenditure guidance for 2026. This move has deepened its partnership with Marvell Technology to develop custom AI chips and initiated the direct monetization of Tensor Processing Units (TPUs) through Google Cloud.

The company's efforts aim to reinforce the cash engines driving Search, YouTube, and Cloud growth while maintaining resilient margins. However, this record spending poses a risk that it may not yield adequate financial returns, as pessimistic analysts have projected revenue growth at around 9% annually and earnings falling to about $170.1 billion by 2029.

The ASUS offer for three months of Google AI Pro or Google AI Plus on select new laptops serves as a clear link between Alphabet's AI infrastructure push and everyday users, testing the extent to which Gemini-powered services can be extended beyond Search and Workspace.

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