Microsoft Shareholder Sees Future Upside in OpenAI Stake

A Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT | MSFT Price Prediction) shareholder is optimistic about the company's future performance, particularly due to its stake in OpenAI. The investor believes that the gap between Microsoft's stock price and the value of OpenAI will eventually be bridged by a public market valuation.

The current value of Microsoft's 27% stake in OpenAI, which was restructured last year, is approximately $135 billion. However, if OpenAI lists at its reported target valuation of around $1.2 trillion, the stake would be worth about $324 billion on paper before dilution. This represents roughly 8.5% of Microsoft's $3.81 trillion market cap.

The investor chooses to own their stake in OpenAI through Microsoft rather than waiting for the company's direct IPO. They are also confident in Microsoft's core business, citing its strong growth and backlog. The company's fiscal 2026 revenue reached $331.84 billion, up 17.8%, with Azure passing $100 billion for the first time.