Walmart Significantly Overvalued: DCF Analysis Reveals
A recent discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis conducted by GuruFocus on Walmart Inc. WMT reveals that the company's intrinsic value is significantly lower than its current market price.
The DCF earnings-based model estimates Walmart's intrinsic value at $36.00, while the free cash flow (FCF)-based model puts it at $19.50. This indicates that the stock is trading at a premium of over 197% and 449%, respectively, compared to its intrinsic value.
The analysis uses a two-stage DCF model with a growth phase over the next ten years, where earnings per share (EPS) are expected to grow at an annual rate of 6.5%. The second stage represents a terminal phase with a growth rate of 4% for the subsequent ten years.
The calculation summary shows that Walmart's intrinsic value is $36.00, which is lower than its current price of $107.12. This suggests that investors should exercise caution when considering buying WMT stock.