Skip to content
Back to Guavy Wire
Commodities

Australia’s Gas Export Crackdown Sparks Asian Trade Tensions

Instruments
Natural Gas
Share

Australia is facing potential trade tensions with key Asian energy partners over its new domestic gas reservation policy. The Albanese government introduced legislation last week that would require the country’s largest liquefied natural gas (LNG) exporters to reserve up to 20% of their annual export volumes for local customers starting in 2028. While existing contracts signed before December 22, 2025, are exempt, the bill explicitly states that any contract renewals or extensions after that date will be subject to the new rules.

The policy aims to lower domestic gas prices for households and industries, addressing long-standing concerns about high local prices despite Australia’s status as a top LNG exporter. However, major Asian buyers, including Japan and South Korea, have expressed strong opposition. Korea Gas Corporation (KOGAS) and Japan’s INPEX have argued that the policy undermines their original investment terms, which include extension options. KOGAS, a significant investor in Australia’s Gladstone LNG terminal, warned that the bill fails to protect the entire duration of their contracts, including extension periods.

Industry leaders have also raised alarms over a “must-sell” obligation that would force LNG producers to deliver prescribed volumes to local buyers, potentially leading to uncommercial deals. Resources Minister Madeleine King defended the policy, stating that any decision to extend an existing contract is a new commercial decision made with full knowledge of the reservation scheme. She emphasized that the government remains committed to honoring existing commercial arrangements.

Local gas-intensive manufacturing firms have welcomed the intervention, arguing that it will help moderate prices that have tripled over the past decade. However, some energy analysts caution that the policy may not deliver immediate benefits, as the Asian LNG contracts underpinning Queensland’s LNG sector are not set to expire until the 2030s. Rick Wilkinson of EnergyQuest noted that Asian buyers, who are also major investors in local infrastructure, feel entitled to exercise their contract extension provisions.

More on Commodities

Disclaimer: Guavy is a data and market intelligence provider, not an investment adviser. The information, signals, and market analysis provided by the Guavy API and related services are for informational purposes only and are not intended as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an endorsement of any particular trading strategy. Trading in volatile markets, including cryptocurrency, carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Guavy makes no guarantee of trading profits or financial returns.

Market sentiment intelligence for apps, funds & agents

Location

729 55 Ave SW
Calgary AB T2V 0G4
Canada

© 2026 Guavy Inc