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Energy Leaders Rally for Resilience Amid US-Iran Conflict Disruptions

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Energy industry leaders gathered in London this week to discuss strategies for mitigating supply disruptions caused by the ongoing US-Iran conflict. The war has shifted the oil sector from a just-in-time to a just-in-case model, according to Patrick Pouyanne, CEO of TotalEnergies. Amin Nasser, CEO of Aramco, highlighted the company's ability to maintain deliveries despite blockades in critical straits like Hormuz and Bab Al Mandeb, thanks to multiple export routes and flexible pipelines. However, he emphasized the need for additional export pathways to ensure future resilience.

Sheikh Nawaf Al Sabah, CEO of Kuwait Petroleum Corporation, underscored the advantages of owning a dedicated tanker fleet, which provides greater control over shipments and crew decisions. The forum also explored the broader implications of the US-Iran confrontation, with Vaclav Bartuska, Czech ambassador to the UK, drawing parallels to Cold War-era escalation dynamics. He suggested that the conflict could either persist for years or end abruptly, depending on geopolitical maneuvers.

Japanese executives from Jogmec and Inpex discussed diversification strategies to avoid supply chokepoints and enhance security. They proposed building storage depots closer to key markets like Japan. Kevin Gallagher of Australian company Santos noted the shift toward pragmatic energy policies in Australia, predicting increased oil and gas exploration. Meanwhile, Bartuska observed that rising energy prices could make previously marginal projects economically viable, potentially unlocking new resources in Latin America, Africa, Asia, Australia, and the US.

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