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Global Food Prices Reach Three-Year High Amid War and Weather Disruptions

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Global food prices have reached their highest level since late 2022, according to the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). The FAO's Food Price Index averaged 133.3 points in August, up from July's revised reading of 130.8.

The index has been rising due to various factors, including extreme heat and drought in Europe, threats of a severe El Niño weather pattern, and trade disruptions linked to wars in Ukraine and Iran.

'August's increase in global food prices is a warning that the risk premium is returning to food markets: climate shocks, geopolitical tensions and disrupted trade logistics are converging to tighten supply expectations,' said FAO Chief Economist Maximo Torero.

The FAO's price benchmarks for cereals, vegetable oils, sugar, meat, and dairy all increased in August. The agency's cereals price index rose 2.2% month-on-month to its highest level since May 2024, while its vegetable oil index increased 0.6% to its highest since June 2022.

The FAO also cut its 2026 global cereal production forecast by 3.4 million metric tonnes from its previous estimate in July to 2.980 billion tonnes. This marks the largest annual decline since 2018, with projected output still being the second-highest on record.

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