Gold's Fall Below $4,200: Analysts at Odds on Future Direction
Gold's price has fallen below $4,200, and analysts are divided on what this means for the precious metal's future. Dhwani Mehta (FXStreet) sees Gold as vulnerable to further downside risks due to hawkish Fed rhetoric, surging Treasury yields, and geopolitical tensions. She believes that any rebound in Gold's price is likely a temporary positioning ahead of Friday's US employment report.
Joshua Gibson (FXStreet), on the other hand, frames the sell-off around what Fed officials are saying rather than what they have done. He notes that each round of hawkish talk has cost Gold 6%, 7%, and warns that another round could lead to a target price of $3,950.
Ghiles Guezout (FXStreet) takes a contrarian view, arguing that the fall below $4,200 is not yet evidence of a structural reversal. He points to record speculative long liquidation risk and Goldman Sachs' year-end target of $4,900 as evidence that central bank demand remains in place.