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Middle East Tensions Send Global Oil Prices Soaring

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Global oil prices surged to their highest level since May, breaching $105 per barrel for Brent crude. The increase comes amid ongoing conflict in the Middle East, particularly in the Straight of Hormuz and Red Sea, where US-Iranian tensions have escalated.

The price hike has sent shockwaves through financial markets, with bond yields surging to their highest level since October 2023. Jason Tuvey, deputy chief emerging markets economist at Capital Economics, attributed the rise in attacks by Iran and its proxies as an attempt 'to regain the initiative in the war.'

This development has heightened concerns about inflation and central bank rate hikes, leading to a sell-off in bonds. The key 10-year Treasury yield rose nine basis points to 4.93%, despite the US Treasury Department announcing it would buy back up to $6 billion in bonds.

Investors remain skeptical about the impact of government buybacks on bond yields, with Mike O'Rourke, chief market strategist at JonesTrading, stating that 'Treasury is figuratively shooting a BB gun at an elephant.'

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