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Saudi Pipeline Attack Sparks Oil Price Volatility Amid Geopolitical Tensions

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On October 5, conflicting reports about an attack on Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline caused sharp swings in oil prices. Agence France-Presse reported that a pump station in the Khurais area was struck, halting crude flows and triggering a price spike. However, Bloomberg News later claimed the pipeline was operating normally, leading to a rapid price drop of more than $1. The pipeline, with a capacity of 5 million barrels per day, is a critical export route that avoids the Strait of Hormuz.

The Khurais pump station had not been targeted before, raising concerns that attacks are expanding beyond previously damaged areas. Satellite imagery showed repair work near Dhahran on September 22, and footage of another damaged segment was exposed on September 13, indicating repeated strikes over recent weeks. The damage to the Khurais station was described as severe, with repair times potentially stretching into weeks.

Oil prices initially surged after AFP's report but fell sharply following Bloomberg's contradictory claim. Prices later climbed again, reflecting persistent market anxiety over Middle East supply security. Saudi officials have not issued a formal statement, leaving traders uncertain about the pipeline's true status. This silence contrasts with the swift official response to an earlier attack on September 11.

The East-West Pipeline's repeated attacks are part of broader geopolitical risks. Shipping through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait has plummeted amid Yemen's conflict, with only six vessels transiting on September 10, down from 20-30 in preceding days. Yemeni government forces recently launched a counteroffensive, recapturing the Dhubab area, but the strait's security remains uncertain. The pipeline's strategic value lies in bypassing the Strait of Hormuz, creating a fragile structure of double exposure if both routes face pressure.

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