Bitcoin Price Nears Cycle Low as Rare Oversold Signals Align

Bitcoin's price has declined by over 50% from its all-time high after more than 40 weeks of losses. According to a detailed analysis from Blockworks Research, the market may be approaching a potential cycle low in both price and time.

Luke Leasure, Head of Research at Blockworks, outlined rare, high-timeframe indicators that have historically coincided with major bottoms and subsequent multi-year outperformance. The findings suggest the period between now and the end of 2026 as a potentially compelling zone for long-term reaccumulation.

The analysis emphasizes that Bitcoin has delivered flat performance against the Nasdaq since late 2017, while carrying substantially higher volatility. Leasure argues that passive always-long exposure is likely to produce diminishing marginal returns, making it crucial for investors to identify opportunistic windows for increased or reduced exposure.