Bitcoin Price Prediction Contract Set by Robinhood Derivatives

The price of Bitcoin is set to be determined by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC in a prediction market contract. The contract, which resolves on September 28, 2026 at 3am EDT, will use the CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) prices collected over the last minute before expiration. The final value will be the average of these 60 RTI prices.

The contract offers a payout of $1 for every contract owned if the prediction is correct, or traders can close their position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply, and trading prohibitions are in place for persons employed by certain agencies or holding material non-public information on Bitcoin.