Bitcoin Price Prediction Market Opens on Robinhood Derivatives

Risk-takers have a chance to predict the price of Bitcoin on October 2, 2026, at 7am EDT through a prediction market offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC. The market allows users to predict the price of Bitcoin within specific ranges. For example, one can predict that the price of Bitcoin will be between $86,200 and $86,299.9921, between $86,300 and $86,399.9921, or between $86,400 and $86,499.9921.

The contract resolves on October 2, 2026, at 7am EDT, and the payout is usually within one hour of the event resolution. The price used to determine the market is based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI). The official and final value is the average of 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration.

Users can get $1 for every contract they own if their prediction is correct, or close their position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply, and trading prohibitions apply to persons who are employed by certain agencies or hold material, non-public information on the underlying asset.