Bitcoin Price Probabilities Revealed by Robinhood's Crypto Prediction Market

The price of Bitcoin on September 28, 2026, at 1am EDT will be determined by Robinhood's Crypto Prediction Market. The market offers several possible price ranges for BTC, with corresponding probabilities: $83,400 or above (71%), $83,500 or above (47%), and $83,600 or above (27%).

The contract resolves based on the average of 60 Real Time Index (RTI) prices collected at the last minute before expiration. The official and final value is calculated from these prices.

Investors who own contracts can earn payouts if their predictions are correct, but there are restrictions for certain individuals, such as those employed by Source Agencies or holding material non-public information on Bitcoin.