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Bitcoin Ratio Hits 19.8 Ounces as Hawkish Fed Tests Asset Values

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Despite recent gains, Bitcoin's recovery is fragile and its correlation to liquidity conditions has grown. The ratio of BTC to gold stands at 19.8 ounces, a level that may seem optimistic but takes on a different meaning when viewed against the backdrop of global conditions.

The ratio has climbed sharply from its February low of 12 ounces, but it's still down for the year despite a 34% gain over the previous quarter. The asset is showing signs of improvement after a rough first half, with institutional interest remaining strong despite outflows from BlackRock's IBIT reaching $5 billion in May and June alone.

Gold, on the other hand, has gained traction due to geopolitical factors, but its demand remains vulnerable to rising real interest rates. The World Gold Council reported that central banks bought 289 tons of gold in the second quarter, with Poland and China purchasing significant amounts. However, exchange-traded fund (ETF) swings are impacting Bitcoin's adoption among institutions.

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