Bitcoin Tumbles Below $84K as Treasury Yields Reach 19-Year High
Bitcoin dipped below $84,000 on Thursday as the US 10-year Treasury yield surged to its highest point since 2007. The move reflects macro rates conditions overwhelming even relatively constructive crypto seasonal patterns.
The catalyst behind the rate-driven pressure was a combination of firmer US economic data and higher energy prices, pushing the 10-year yield to 5.13% intraday before ending at 5.11%. This highlights how quickly macro rates can overwhelm crypto markets.
James Stanley, senior market analyst for global macro at FOREX.com, noted that Bitcoin has managed to hold up 'even with surging rates and a strong USD.' He also identified $82,833 as the next area of interest if the pullback deepens.
The Federal Reserve remains the key transmission mechanism between macro data and crypto pricing. Expectations for an October Fed hike have risen materially, with an analyst citing around a 70% probability, while CME Fedwatch shows a 75.3% chance for a 4.00%-4.25% range.