Bitcoin's October Outlook: Can It Deliver a Strong Q4 Rally?

The Bitcoin price is heading into October with traders wondering if it can turn its recent performance into a stronger Q4 rally. As of Monday, the asset traded at ~$83.2K, down 1.50% over 24 hours but up 2.43% over the past week.

However, year-to-date, it remained down 5.06%. The recent fall has triggered significant forced selling, with liquidations totaling $107.9M over the past 24 hours, according to Coinglass charts.

The asset closed the week at ~$84.46K on September 27, marking its highest weekly close in eight months. On the 30-minute weekly chart, the price has moved slightly above Bitcoin's 20 EMA at ~$83.2K but remains below the 50, 100, and 200 EMAs clustered around $84K.

The fundamentals backdrop is supporting the positive momentum, with U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs recording $145.7M of net inflows today and seven-day inflows reaching $2.45B, their strongest weekly inflow since October 2025.