Ether Given 68% Odds of Reaching $3,000 by End of 2026
Prediction markets are giving Ether (ETH) a 68% chance of reaching $3,000 by December 31, 2026. This is according to a prediction-market contract that has recorded about $16.05 million in volume. The implied probabilities for this contract fall to 37% for a target of $3,500, 19% for $4,000, 6% for $5,000, and only 1% for $10,000.
The same contract assigns Ether a 33% probability of falling to $2,250 and a 19% probability of reaching $2,000 on the downside. Currently, ETH is trading near $2,689.
Another prediction-market contract is giving Zcash (ZEC) a 53% chance of reaching $2,000 by December 31, 2026. This contract has recorded about $626,556 in volume and assigns 36% odds to a decline to $700 and 21% to a decline to $500.
It's essential to note that these contracts measure whether an asset reaches a specified price during the period, rather than whether it remains there. This means that temporary price spikes can produce positive results even if the token later trades below the target.