Ethereum's Revenue Conundrum: $326B Value Raises Questions
The value of Ethereum, currently priced at ~$326B, raises questions about its revenue generation. According to DefiLlama, Ethereum brought in ~$64M in chain revenue over the past 12 months, which is ~5,100x revenue. This is not unique to Ethereum, as most other big chains have similar ratios.
For Ethereum, revenue is primarily generated through fees that get burned or sent to the chain's treasury. The payouts to validators do not count. The 2024 Dencun upgrade made it super cheap for L2s to use Ethereum, so most of the fees now stay with the L2s. Robinhood Chain, built with Arbitrum's tech, is a good example, grossing ~$816K in fees in its first two weeks, with Robinhood keeping ~89%, Arbitrum taking ~10%, and Ethereum getting $1,538 (~0.15%).
This leads to a question: what is the market paying ~$326B for? Lorenzo Valente, director of research at ARK Invest, laid out both sides of the argument. If Ethereum is considered a revenue asset, it's the bear case. However, if it's viewed as a money asset, Robinhood building on Ethereum is bullish.
Greg Viverito, general partner at TAG Capital, made the point that for apps built on Ethereum, revenue is the whole case. He noted that protocols earning revenue and passing it to token holders can stand out fast, kicking off the revenue meta. This can be seen in Hyperliquid, which kept ~12x more revenue than Ethereum burned last month, at ~1/16th of the market cap.