Gold Sideways Grind vs Bitcoin's Long-Term Pattern
Gold and bitcoin have different medium-term outlooks, according to a recent Kitco commentary by Jonathan Da Silva. Gold has been in a sideways grind, but the author had previously highlighted a medium-term bottom around $4,000, which some may question as a potential return to the all-time high. Historically, periods of gold weakness driven by expectations of higher interest rates have presented attractive long-term buying opportunities, with the current market still in one of those periods. The commentary noted that when 10-year Treasuries yielded 5.25%, the gold price was less than $400 per ounce, which is 10 times less than today, highlighting the long-term viability of gold as a store of value.
The author also suggested that gold could move farther down, with a breach of the bottom rising trendline potentially triggering a strong sell-off towards the 3600 level. On the other hand, bitcoin is trying to put in a long-term inverse head and shoulders pattern, which could be a bullish sign for the asset. The author has a long-standing bias towards bitcoin, describing it as multi-faceted and including a facet that captures the debasement trade.