Robinhood Hosts Bitcoin Price Prediction Market for October 2026

A prediction market on Robinhood has been set up to forecast the price of Bitcoin on October 3, 2026, at 1am EDT. The market predicts a range of $84,500 to $84,999.9910, with three possible outcome ranges: $84,500 to $84,599.9978, $84,600 to $84,699.9922, and $84,900 to $84,999.9910. The price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), which collects 60 prices at the last minute before expiration and calculates the average.

The prediction market is hosted by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, and participants can buy or sell contracts based on their predictions. If the prediction is correct, participants will receive $1 for every contract they own. The event contract is available 24 hours a day, except for Thursdays from 3am to 5am ET.

It's worth noting that trading on the contract is restricted to individuals who do not hold material, non-public information on Bitcoin and are not employed by the Source Agencies.