Robinhood Launches BNB Price Prediction Market for 2026

Robinhood has launched a new crypto prediction market focused on the future price of Binance Coin (BNB). The contract, set to resolve on October 5, 2026, asks whether the price of BNB will be at or above $792.31 during a 15-minute window ending at 2:45 AM EDT. The outcome will be determined by the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSDRTI before the specified time.

The prediction market operates by allowing users to buy contracts that predict whether the BNB price will meet or exceed the target. If the average price of BNB during the final minute before expiration is at least $792.31, the contract resolves to 'Yes,' and participants will receive $1 for every contract they own. Users also have the option to close their positions before the event resolves.

Robinhood emphasizes that the price data used for this market is based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), not sources like Google or Coinbase. The final value will be the average of 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration, rounded to the nearest two decimal places.

The platform includes trading prohibitions to ensure fairness, such as restrictions on individuals employed by source agencies or those holding material, non-public information. Additional fees apply, and users are encouraged to read the full contract terms and conditions before participating.