Robinhood Predicts Ethereum Price for October 2026

Robinhood's crypto prediction market is offering contracts on the future price of Ethereum (ETH). The specific event in question is the price of ETH on October 6, 2026, at 2 PM EDT. The prediction market shows varying probabilities for different price ranges, with the highest confidence placed on ETH being above $2,680 and $2,615, both at 98% and 92% respectively. There is also a 3% chance that ETH will be above $2,710.

The price used to determine the contract's outcome is based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI). The final value is calculated by averaging 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration. Participants can earn $1 for every correct contract they own, or they can close their position before the event resolves. Additional fees may apply.

Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, through various exchanges, offers these event contracts. However, there are trading prohibitions in place. Individuals employed by certain agencies or those with material, non-public information about Ethereum are not permitted to trade on these contracts. The platform also notes that futures, options, and similar trading involve significant risk and are not suitable for everyone.