Robinhood Sets Prediction Market for Bitcoin Price on August 25, 2026
A prediction market for Bitcoin's price has been set for August 25, 2026 at 3am EDT. The contract, offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, will determine the outcome based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) prices collected in the last minute before expiration.
The final value used to settle the contract will be the average of these 60 RTI prices. If the prediction is correct, holders will receive $1 for every contract owned.
Trading on this contract is subject to certain restrictions and requirements, including prohibitions for employees of certain agencies and individuals with material non-public information on Bitcoin.