Robinhood's Bitcoin Price Prediction Market Sets October 4, 2026, Target

Robinhood's prediction market is offering a bet on the price of Bitcoin on October 4, 2026, at 2am EDT. The contract allows users to predict whether the price of Bitcoin will be above certain thresholds. The possible outcomes and their corresponding payouts are as follows: if the price is above $75,100, users who own a contract will receive $1 per contract; if the price is above $84,000, users will receive $1 per contract; if the price is above $84,200, users will receive $1 per contract; and if the price is above $84,300 or $84,400, users will receive $1 per contract. The price used to determine the outcome is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI), which collects 60 RTI prices at the last minute before expiration and averages them to determine the official and final value. Users can close their positions before the event resolves or wait until the contract is settled to receive their payout. It's worth noting that trading prohibitions apply, including restrictions for those employed by certain agencies or holding material, non-public information on the underlying asset.