Robinhood's BTC Price Prediction Market Opens Amid Speculation

The price of Bitcoin on October 4th, 2026 at 8am EDT is up for prediction on Robinhood's Prediction Market. The current live data shows a range of prices from $85,100 to $85,400, with specific probabilities attached to each: 98¢ if the price reaches or exceeds $85,100, 93¢ for $85,200, and so on.

The market uses CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) as its basis for determining the final price. At the last minute before expiration, sixty RTI prices are collected, and the official value is calculated as their average.

Robinhood's Prediction Market offers traders a chance to win $1 for every contract owned if their prediction proves correct. Traders may also choose to close their positions before the event resolves, but this comes with additional fees.