Solana Struggles Above $75 as Death Cross Looms
Solana (SOL) is clinging to its $75 level, but technical indicators are flashing warning signs. A death cross has formed on the daily chart, typically interpreted as a bearish signal.
The Myriad prediction market reflects a 69% probability of Solana falling to $40, while a rebound to $160 is seen as only 31% likely. Weakness in Bitcoin and Ethereum is also weighing on SOL's performance.
Chart pivot points are clear: if Solana regains $77.50, it could open the door for retesting around $85, where the August high and the 200-day exponential moving average sit. However, a slip below $72 could trigger a downside move to $70.58 and then to around $65.
The variables market participants are watching are a network upgrade and changes to tokenomics. The Alpenglow consensus upgrade aims to cut transaction finalisation time, while proposals related to shrinking supply are being discussed.Validators are close to pushing SGP-0003, which bundles two changes: SIMD-0553 would introduce resource-based fees and increase daily SOL burns more than 10-fold.