Strong Days Make Up Most of Bitcoin's Monthly Gains

A recent Bitcoin commentator argued that just a few strong trading days can make up most of BTC's gains in a month.

Quinten Francois shared a chart showing Bitcoin's monthly returns and what those returns would look like if the four best-performing days were removed.

The examples show that a small number of very strong trading days can have a major impact on Bitcoin's overall monthly performance. In August 2026, Bitcoin gained 24.9% for the month. But without its four best days, the gain would have been only 0.5%. The difference was even bigger during some previous Bitcoin rallies: in March 2023, Bitcoin gained 23.2%, but fell 8.3% when the four best days were removed.

Francois' point is that trying to perfectly time when to buy and sell Bitcoin can be risky. A Bank of Singapore analysis published in February 2025 also found that missing a small number of the market's strongest periods can significantly reduce long-term returns. This shows how difficult it can be to predict short-term market moves.