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Tunica-Biloxi Tribe Breaks Ground with First Tribal Prediction Market

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The Tunica-Biloxi Tribe of Louisiana has made history by launching its own prediction market, SaltTrade Derivatives, in partnership with Kalshi. This marks the first time a sovereign tribal nation has operated an event contract application in the United States.

The system uses Kalshi's trading and clearing technology to enable trading contracts linked to real-world outcomes within a supervised environment. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) previously issued a conditional no-action letter outlining the regulatory framework for the project.

The launch comes as the tribal gaming industry in the United States generated $46.2 billion in gross revenue during fiscal year 2025, according to data from the National Indian Gaming Commission (NIGC). The initiative is seen as a potential model for other tribal governments to explore digital economic diversification options.

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