Skip to content
Back to Guavy Wire
Forex

Labor Market at Full Employment? Not So Fast, Say Experts

Instruments
USD
Share

This week's labor market data release includes several key indicators, including the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey and the ADP private sector report. The September unemployment rate will be announced on Friday, with last month's rate at 4.1%.

According to Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, this level of unemployment is essentially consistent with full employment. However, experts are not so sure.

Alicia Sasser Modestino, a professor at Northeastern University's School of Public Policy and Urban Affairs, compares the labor market to filling a bathtub with water. 'You want enough water that you can enjoy the bath, but not so much that it overflows,' she explained.

Modestino notes that even at full employment, there will still be some people without jobs. Zero unemployment is actually associated with high inflation and wages growth, which experts agree is not desirable.

More on Forex

Disclaimer: Guavy is a data and market intelligence provider, not an investment adviser. The information, signals, and market analysis provided by the Guavy API and related services are for informational purposes only and are not intended as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an endorsement of any particular trading strategy. Trading in volatile markets, including cryptocurrency, carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. Guavy makes no guarantee of trading profits or financial returns.

Market sentiment intelligence for apps, funds & agents

Location

729 55 Ave SW
Calgary AB T2V 0G4
Canada

© 2026 Guavy Inc