Warsh's Monetarist Revival Seen as Cosmetic Change
The Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh is expected to revive its focus on broad money supply metrics, but this move may be short-lived. According to TS Lombard, this mini-monetarist revival will ultimately be a 'fade' that won't impact near-term interest rates. The firm argues that central banks will pay lip service to these metrics without making any significant changes to their monetary policies.
The shift towards monetarism is seen as a response to growing concerns about inflation and the effectiveness of traditional quantitative easing measures. However, TS Lombard believes that this revival is nothing more than a cosmetic change, aimed at appeasing market expectations rather than actually addressing underlying economic issues.