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Alphabet Stock Dips Amid Regulatory Scrutiny, But Google Cloud Momentum Endures

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Alphabet's stock price dipped by about 3% in the past week, settling at $344. This decline is partly attributed to the broader market's reaction to rising interest rates, as the 10-year Treasury yield hit its highest level since 2007.

The company faced a €403 million fine from Ireland's privacy regulator for historical location-data practices under GDPR. Additionally, Britain's competition watchdog proposed giving consumers more search choice, including AI assistant options on Android and Chrome. While these developments add to the regulatory overhang, they do not threaten Google's core business.

On a positive note, Alphabet's growth momentum remains strong. In Q2, the company reported 24% revenue growth, with Google Cloud revenue surging 82% to $24.8 billion. CEO Sundar Pichai emphasized that AI investments are redefining what's possible across every part of the business.

The guided valuation model estimates a target price of $504 for Alphabet stock, implying a 46.6% total return from its current share price and an annualized return of 18.4% over the next 2.3 years. This projection is based on revenue growth assumptions of 22.3%, which is above the company's 5-year average.

Google Cloud's momentum is a key driver of Alphabet's growth story. With a $514 billion backlog and an operating margin jump to 35.6% from 20.7% last year, the segment continues to deliver strong results. The company's flexibility in funding its AI buildout without straining its finances also adds to its appeal.

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