JPMorgan Stock Slips Below High Amid Flattening Yield Curve
JPMorgan Chase's stock price has slipped to 6% below its recent high of $367, despite a record-breaking year. The bank's shares closed at $343 last week, down 2.6%. This decline is largely due to the benchmark Treasury yield reaching a 19-year high and the yield curve flattening.
Financial stocks have been affected by these changes, with banks earning less on lending as short-term and long-term rates move closer together. However, JPMorgan's company news remains mostly positive, including its recent launch of the Data Security Center, which allows app users to see and cut off fintech apps linked to their accounts.
The bank is also reportedly in talks to lead $3.8 billion of construction financing for a Manhattan condo tower. Despite these developments, CEO Jamie Dimon expressed caution on the July earnings call, stating 'it's getting close to as good as it gets.' He warned that it's uncertain how long this strong performance will last.
JPMorgan's Q3 results in October must demonstrate trading and dealmaking strength to break back above $367. The bank's valuation model estimates a target price of $406, implying an 18.4% total return from the current share price and an annualized return of 7.7% over 2.3 years.