Coinbase Prediction Market on De Dios vs. Macias Elizalde Closes After 2026

Coinbase has introduced a new prediction market centered on the outcome of a match between De Dios and Macias Elizalde. The market, which closed on October 6, 2026, saw significant interest with a total trading volume of $3.3 million and interest amounting to $982,088.38. The market allowed traders to bet on the final outcome of the event, with contracts priced based on the market’s odds.

Traders could buy 'Yes' contracts if they believed the event would happen or 'No' contracts if they thought it would not. If the event occurred, 'Yes' contract holders earned $1 per contract minus their purchase price and fees. Conversely, 'No' contract holders earned $1 per contract if the event did not happen. The market operated under strict rules, including prohibitions for current players, coaches, staff, and other related parties to ensure fairness.

Coinbase Financial Markets, a registered futures commission merchant, regulated the prediction market. The platform emphasized that trading prediction contracts involves substantial risk and may result in the loss of the entire investment. Payouts were based on an independent, regulated exchange determining the result using a stated 'source of truth,' such as official data or market prices.

The market was accessible 24/7, except during weekly maintenance windows from Thursday 3:00-5:00 am ET. Traders needed a Coinbase account and had to complete onboarding to Coinbase Financial Markets, including identity verification and basic income/net worth details, to participate.