Robinhood Sets Bitcoin Price Targets in New Crypto Prediction Market

The Robinhood Crypto Prediction Market is offering a contract that predicts the price of Bitcoin (BTC) on September 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT. The contract uses the CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI) to determine the official and final value of BTC's price. According to the market, there are various price targets: $84,200 or above has a probability of 63¢, $84,300 or above has a probability of 45¢, and $84,400 or above has a probability of 31¢.

The contract allows users to trade on the predicted outcome, with payouts usually within an hour of event resolution. Trading hours are available 24/7, except for Thursdays from 3am-5am ET. It's essential to note that persons employed by any of the Source Agencies or holding material non-public information on Bitcoin are not permitted to trade on the contract.