Robinhood Traders Bet on Bitcoin Price in 2026

On Robinhood's crypto prediction market, traders are placing bets on the future price of Bitcoin (BTC). As of the latest data, the most popular prediction is that BTC will be worth $85,500 or above by October 6, 2026, at 5 pm EDT, with 58 cents in payout per contract. Other predictions include $85,750 or above at 52 cents, $86,000 or above at 42 cents, and $86,250 or above at 34 cents.

The prediction market operates 24 hours a day, except for a brief maintenance window from 3 am to 5 am ET every Thursday. The contract's outcome will be determined using CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), which averages 60 RTI prices collected in the final minute before expiration.

Traders who correctly predict the price will receive $1 for every contract they own. Alternatively, they can close their positions before the event resolves. Additional fees apply for trading, and certain restrictions are in place to prevent insider trading or trading based on non-public information.

Robinhood Derivatives, LLC offers these event contracts through various exchanges, including KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC, Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC, or North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc. The platform emphasizes that trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for everyone.