Robinhood Prediction Market Sets XRP Price Target for 2026

On October 4, 2026, at 6 PM EDT, the price of XRP (Ripple) will be determined by a prediction market hosted on Robinhood. The market is based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), which provides continuous pricing data for major cryptocurrencies. The outcome will be resolved using a simple average of the index for the 60 seconds prior to the specified time.

The current predictions vary, with 99% confidence that the price will be at least $1.47991, 98% confidence it will reach $1.49991, 10% confidence it will hit $1.51991, and just 3% confidence it will surpass $1.53991. The contract resolves based on whether the price meets the specified criterion at the exact time on the target date.

If no data is available or if the data is incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes will resolve to 'No.' The market is offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through various exchanges, and participants can earn $1 for every correct prediction or close their position before the event resolves.